Viendo archivo del lunes, 12 agosto 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Aug 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 225 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Aug 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
11/2358Z from Region 3780 (S11W20). There are currently 11 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 Aug, 14
Aug, 15 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at minor storm to severe storm levels for the past 24
hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 534 km/s at 12/0738Z. Total
IMF reached 23 nT at 11/2255Z. The maximum southward component of Bz
reached -20 nT at 12/1017Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 125 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (13 Aug), quiet to
active levels on day two (14 Aug) and quiet levels on day three (15
Aug). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (13 Aug, 14 Aug, 15 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Aug 272 Previsto 13 Aug-15 Aug 285/270/270 Media de 90 Días 12 Aug 200
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Aug 023/028 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Aug 069/126 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Aug-15 Aug 028/040-012/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 45% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 80% | 30% | 25% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
viernes, 14 noviembre 2025
X4.0 solar flare
Últimos mensajes del foro
Geminid Meteor Shower 23Current Farside Activity 252Coronal Hole 06 50Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 33Filaments and prominences 414
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 131.8 +40 |
| Last 30 days | 108.3 +14.5 |