Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 octubre 2024
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Oct 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 300 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Oct 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at
26/0719Z from Region 3873 (S10E49). There are currently 11 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (27 Oct, 28
Oct, 29 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 517 km/s at 26/1739Z. Total IMF reached 26
nT at 26/1955Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -19 nT at
26/1821Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 16 pfu at 26/2100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 249 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (27 Oct, 29 Oct)
and quiet to minor storm levels on day two (28 Oct). Protons are
expected to cross threshold on day one (27 Oct) and have a chance of
crossing threshold on days two and three (28 Oct, 29 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Protón | 99% | 50% | 50% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Oct 238 Previsto 27 Oct-29 Oct 240/245/245 Media de 90 Días 26 Oct 220
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Oct 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Oct 011/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct 011/015-017/025-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Oct a 29 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 55% | 40% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
viernes, 14 noviembre 2025
X4.0 solar flare
Últimos mensajes del foro
Geminid Meteor Shower 23Current Farside Activity 252Coronal Hole 06 50Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 33Filaments and prominences 414
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 131.8 +40 |
| Last 30 days | 108.3 +14.5 |