Viewing archive of Wednesday, 23 August 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Aug 23 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 236 Issued at 2200Z on 23 AUG 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OCCASIONAL LOW LEVEL C-CLASS EVENTS OCCURRED. CURRENT DISK REGIONS ARE SMALL AND EXHIBITED ONLY MINOR EVOLUTION. THE EAST LIMB WAS QUIET.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 22/2100Z TO 23/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET UNTIL THE 23/0900-1800Z TIME PERIOD. UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS WERE OBSERVED DURING THAT TIME. QUIET RETURNED FOR THE 23/1800-2100Z PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR 24-25 AUGUST WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE LEVELS POSSIBLE. MOSTLY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR 26 AUGUST.
III. Event Probabilities 24 AUG to 26 AUG
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 AUG 137
  Predicted   24 AUG-26 AUG  134/132/132
  90 Day Mean        23 AUG 182
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 AUG  003/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 AUG  008/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 AUG-26 AUG  010/012-010/010-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 AUG to 26 AUG
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%30%15%
Minor storm15%15%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%15%
Minor storm15%15%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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