Viewing archive of Thursday, 6 March 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Mar 06 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 066 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity remains at very low levels. Region 984 (S08W80) is a small beta sunspot group rotating quietly around the west limb. The rest of the solar disk and limb is very quiet.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit briefly exceeded high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels over the next three days. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 7 March. A recurring high speed coronal hole stream will rotate into a geoeffective position on 8 March, and produce occasional active to minor storm periods on 8 and 9 March.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Mar 070
  Predicted   07 Mar-09 Mar  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        06 Mar 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar  007/008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Mar  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar  005/005-012/015-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar to 09 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%40%40%
Minor storm05%20%20%
Major-severe storm01%10%10%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%50%50%
Minor storm10%25%25%
Major-severe storm05%15%15%

All times in UTC

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