Viewing archive of Tuesday, 14 October 2014

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2014 Oct 14 1204 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
14 Oct 2014	113	014
15 Oct 2014	115	017
16 Oct 2014	117	017

Bulletin

No C flares occurred during the past 24 hours. In the next 48 hours, C flares are possible, especially from beta regions NOAA AR 2187 and 2188. Over the last 24 hours, solar wind speed observed by ACE has fluctuated between about 340 and 430 km/s. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) first varied between 3 and 9 nT, and increased further to 13 nT from around 4h UT on October 14. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on October 14, 15 and 16, with a chance for active levels (K Dourbes = 4).

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 055, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Oct 2014

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	113
AK Chambon La Forêt	016
AK Wingst	010
Estimated Ap	009
Estimated international sunspot number	031 - Based on 14 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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