Viewing archive of Monday, 17 November 2014

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2014 Nov 17 1302 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
17 Nov 2014	174	010
18 Nov 2014	179	007
19 Nov 2014	181	007

Bulletin

The strongest flare of the past 24 hours was the M5.7 flare peaking at 17:48 UT yesterday in the NOAA AR 2209. It was not associated with a CME. The NOAA AR 2209 maintains the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, so we expect flaring activity on the M-level in this region, with an X-class flare possible but unlikely. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 450 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 072, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 16 Nov 2014

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	172
AK Chambon La Forêt	023
AK Wingst	018
Estimated Ap	021
Estimated international sunspot number	071 - Based on 08 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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