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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Apr 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 98 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Apr 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (09 Apr, 10 Apr, 11 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 623 km/s at 08/1641Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 08/1257Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 08/1258Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 10268 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (09 Apr) and quiet to active levels on days two and three (10 Apr, 11 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Apr to 11 Apr
Class M40%40%40%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 Apr 159
  Predicted   09 Apr-11 Apr 150/150/140
  90 Day Mean        08 Apr 178

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 Apr  010/013
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 Apr  017/025
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr  014/015-011/012-010/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Apr to 11 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active35%30%30%
Minor storm20%15%15%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%15%15%
Minor storm25%30%30%
Major-severe storm50%45%45%

All times in UTC

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