Viewing archive of Tuesday, 28 October 2025

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Oct 28 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 301 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Oct 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be low on days one, two, and three (29 Oct, 30 Oct, 31 Oct).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 474 km/s at 28/1900Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at 28/1810Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at 28/2046Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 516 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on days one and two (29 Oct, 30 Oct) and unsettled to active levels on day three (31 Oct).
III. Event Probabilities 29 Oct to 31 Oct
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 Oct 122
  Predicted   29 Oct-31 Oct 120/125/130
  90 Day Mean        28 Oct 152

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 27 Oct  004/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 28 Oct  016/020
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 29 Oct-31 Oct  021/030-020/025-014/018

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Oct to 31 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active40%40%35%
Minor storm30%20%15%
Major-severe storm15%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%15%
Minor storm25%25%30%
Major-severe storm70%60%45%

All times in UTC

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