Viewing archive of Friday, 7 November 2025

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Nov 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 311 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Nov 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (08 Nov, 09 Nov, 10 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 859 km/s at 07/1028Z. Total IMF reached 17 nT at 07/0614Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -16 nT at 07/0539Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 340 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at active to major storm levels on day one (08 Nov), quiet to minor storm levels on day two (09 Nov) and unsettled to major storm levels on day three (10 Nov). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (08 Nov, 09 Nov, 10 Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Nov to 10 Nov
Class M80%80%80%
Class X35%35%35%
Proton20%20%20%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Nov 166
  Predicted   08 Nov-10 Nov 170/170/170
  90 Day Mean        07 Nov 151

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Nov  031/043
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Nov  032/046
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov  026/035-015/018-022/030

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Nov to 10 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%35%30%
Minor storm40%15%15%
Major-severe storm20%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%15%
Minor storm15%25%30%
Major-severe storm75%50%45%

All times in UTC

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