Viewing archive of Sunday, 7 December 2025

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Dec 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 341 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Dec 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (08 Dec, 09 Dec, 10 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 732 km/s at 06/2106Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 07/1318Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 07/0216Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1452 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and three (08 Dec, 10 Dec) and minor storm to severe storm levels on day two (09 Dec). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (08 Dec, 09 Dec, 10 Dec).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Dec to 10 Dec
Class M65%65%65%
Class X15%15%15%
Proton15%15%15%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Dec 194
  Predicted   08 Dec-10 Dec 190/190/185
  90 Day Mean        07 Dec 148

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Dec  015/016
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Dec  011/013
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec  013/018-048/070-022/033

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Dec to 10 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%20%35%
Minor storm30%30%35%
Major-severe storm20%50%20%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm20%15%20%
Major-severe storm70%85%75%

All times in UTC

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