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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Mar 27 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 86 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Mar 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (28 Mar, 29 Mar, 30 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 522 km/s at 27/1504Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 27/0200Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 27/2058Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 12784 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (28 Mar), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (29 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day three (30 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 28 Mar to 30 Mar
Class M45%45%40%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       27 Mar 156
  Predicted   28 Mar-30 Mar 158/155/155
  90 Day Mean        27 Mar 140

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 26 Mar  007/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 27 Mar  007/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 28 Mar-30 Mar  006/005-007/008-013/015

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Mar to 30 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%20%35%
Minor storm01%05%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%10%
Minor storm20%25%25%
Major-severe storm20%25%50%

All times in UTC

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