Viewing archive of Thursday, 23 April 2026

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Apr 23 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 113 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Apr 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (24 Apr, 25 Apr, 26 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 496 km/s at 23/0352Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 22/2101Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 22/2218Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4058 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (24 Apr), quiet to active levels on day two (25 Apr) and quiet to minor storm levels on day three (26 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (24 Apr, 25 Apr, 26 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 24 Apr to 26 Apr
Class M55%60%60%
Class X10%15%15%
Proton10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Apr 128
  Predicted   24 Apr-26 Apr 135/135/132
  90 Day Mean        23 Apr 129

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Apr  004/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Apr  009/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Apr-26 Apr  009/008-011/012-016/022

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Apr to 26 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%30%40%
Minor storm05%05%25%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%10%
Minor storm25%30%25%
Major-severe storm25%35%60%

All times in UTC

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