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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Mar 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 88 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Mar 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (30 Mar, 31 Mar, 01 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 473 km/s at 29/1824Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 29/1720Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 29/0330Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3754 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (30 Mar), quiet to active levels on day two (31 Mar) and quiet levels on day three (01 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Mar to 01 Apr
Class M45%45%45%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Mar 158
  Predicted   30 Mar-01 Apr 155/152/155
  90 Day Mean        29 Mar 139

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Mar  008/011
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Mar  013/018
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr  017/022-010/012-007/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Mar to 01 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active40%30%20%
Minor storm25%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%15%15%
Minor storm25%25%30%
Major-severe storm65%40%25%

All times in UTC

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