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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Mar 30 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 89 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Mar 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (31 Mar, 01 Apr, 02 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 526 km/s at 30/0621Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at 29/2324Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 30/0422Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1347 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to major storm levels on day one (31 Mar), quiet to minor storm levels on day two (01 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (02 Apr). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on days one and two (31 Mar, 01 Apr) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (02 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Mar to 02 Apr
Class M55%55%55%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton50%50%25%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Mar 152
  Predicted   31 Mar-02 Apr 152/155/155
  90 Day Mean        30 Mar 139

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Mar  011/014
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Mar  014/017
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr  020/035-019/024-008/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Mar to 02 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%40%15%
Minor storm30%25%05%
Major-severe storm20%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%20%
Minor storm20%25%30%
Major-severe storm75%60%25%

All times in UTC

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Last X-flare2026/03/30X1.4
Last M-flare2026/03/28M1.3
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*since 1994

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