Issued: 2014 Feb 11 1256 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2014 | 161 | 010 |
| 12 Feb 2014 | 163 | 008 |
| 13 Feb 2014 | 165 | 005 |
During last 24 hours the flaring activity was at the low C-class level, with an exception of the isolated M-class flare observed this morning. Majority of the flares (including the M-class flare) originated from the Catania sunspot group 36 (NOAA AR 1974). The impulsive M1.7 flare which peaked at 03:31 UT on February 11 was accompanied with an EIT wave and coronal dimmings. The currently available data do not show CME associated with this flare. We expect flaring activity on the C-level, with the possibility of an isolated M-class flare. The solar wind speed is currently around 450 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is stable amounting about 6 nT. We expect quiet to unsettled (K<4) geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 115, based on 12 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 161 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 022 |
| AK Wingst | 012 |
| Estimated Ap | 013 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 096 - Based on 11 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0322 | 0331 | 0339 | S12E17 | M1.7 | 1N | 140 | 36/1974 | VI/1III/3II/2 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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