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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Nov 30 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 334 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Nov 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec, 03 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 657 km/s at 30/0231Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 30/0152Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 30/0102Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 8309 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (01 Dec), quiet levels on day two (02 Dec) and quiet to active levels on day three (03 Dec). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec, 03 Dec).
III. Event Probabilities 01 Dec to 03 Dec
Class M70%70%70%
Class X20%20%20%
Proton10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Nov 180
  Predicted   01 Dec-03 Dec 190/190/190
  90 Day Mean        30 Nov 144

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Nov  012/020
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Nov  015/016
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 01 Dec-03 Dec  008/008-005/005-012/015

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Dec to 03 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%10%40%
Minor storm05%01%20%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%10%
Minor storm25%20%25%
Major-severe storm25%15%60%

All times in UTC

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