Viewing archive of Monday, 13 May 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 May 13 1325 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 13 May 2013 until 15 May 2013
Solar flares

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
13 May 2013148010
14 May 2013150007
15 May 2013155010

Bulletin

An active region behind the east limb produced an X1.7 flare with peak at 02:17 UT and several M class flares. There were Type II and III radio bursts and a CME associated with this flare. The CME is not expected to arrive to the Earth. Active conditions are expected with more M and X class flares possible, in particular when this AR rotates over the visible disk in a few days. C and M class flares can be expected mostly from NOAA AR 1744, 1745 and 1746. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet, unsettled conditions may occur with the expected arrival of a mildly fast speed stream from a coronal hole today and tomorrow.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 094, based on 08 stations.

Solar indices for 12 May 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux147
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number093 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
13015302170232----X1.7III/2VII/3II/1CTM/1
13115712031209----M1.3

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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